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Going Into Earnings, Is Apple Stock a Buy, a Sell, or Fairly Valued?

Should i buy apple stock

The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities. Perhaps one of the big reasons why investors are bullish on the stock’s potential following the announcement of Apple Intelligence is that the AI software will only be available on recent Apple products.

Growth Scorecard

Should i buy apple stock

We expect services to grow at a 6.5% CAGR over the next five years as iOS users buy more and more of the firm’s services like Apple TV+, Apple Music, and so on. We model Apple’s wearables, home, and accessories segment to grow at a 17% CAGR over the next five years. We anticipate strong growth in Apple Watches and AirPods in the years ahead, while also anticipating the launch of an AR/VR headset over the next five years. Our fair value estimate assumes a launch with minimal revenue in fiscal 2024, but growing to an $11 billion business by fiscal 2027. At the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system.

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Therefore, his decision to sell such a large percentage of his Apple stock — with the possibility he will sell more this year — should give investors a reason to think about what is motivating Buffett. At the meeting, he also alluded to tax rates as a reason to take profits in Apple. Selling “a little Apple” this year would benefit Berkshire shareholders should the U.S. raise capital gains taxes in the future “to plug a climbing fiscal deficit,” he said, according to CNBC. To us, Apple’s most important moat source arises from the switching costs for its ecosystem of software, driven by iOS on the iPhone. The firm enjoys terrific customer retention and satisfaction, even despite pricing its products at a significant premium to its competition.

Apple’s installed base of devices is over 2 billion and growing

  • Apple’s board approved a $90 billion increase to the company’s current share repurchase program, which will continue to add value to existing shareholders by reducing the number of shares on the market.
  • The digital ecosystem revolves around the Apple App Store which lists thousands of games and applications for iOS users.
  • When comparing this ratio to different stocks in different industries, take note that some businesses are more capital intensive than others.
  • In the past decade, its revenue increased at a compound annual rate of 12.9%.
  • CNBC estimates that Berkshire’s stake in Apple declined to 400 million shares in June 2024, a 55% reduction from 905 million shares in December 2023.

Throw in the improved pricing of its 5G smartphones, and it is not surprising to see why Apple’s earnings are expected to grow at an annual rate of nearly 20% for the next five years. That’s a big jump over the yearly bottom-line growth of 8.4% the company has clocked in the last five years. Investors shouldn’t worry much about the near-term problems that may hamper Apple’s iPhone production, as the company has a lot of room for growth in the 5G smartphone era thanks to its huge base of users. Recent reports suggest that Apple’s iPhone 13 sales may be restrained by supply chain restrictions. The iPhone maker may have to lose out on sales of up to 10 million units of the iPhone 13, as a worldwide semiconductor shortage could cripple its production lines. The smartphone behemoth was reportedly looking to manufacture 90 million iPhone units in 2021, but third-party reports indicate that it could fall short of that mark.

Weak iPhone demand and supply chain challenges

Should i buy apple stock

However, taking things slowly has enabled the company to develop products that are more appealing to the market. Now is a good time to buy the stock, since Berkshire’s businesses generally do well in a bull market, which usually coincides with a growing economy. It plans to introduce Apple Intelligence in October, bringing AI features to iPhones and MacBooks. But those features are https://investmentsanalysis.info/ free and, apart from potentially driving product upgrades, management has yet to detail plans for future monetization. Bloomberg has speculated that Apple will eventually charge for certain AI features, but whether consumers will pay is another question. In recent years, one of the most widely discussed aspects of his business has been its sizable stake in Apple (AAPL 1.66%).

Warren Buffett Is Selling Apple Stock and Buying This Magnificent Megacap Stock Instead

As the lower-priced base models, the iPhone 14 and the bigger Plus version would normally be outselling the Pro versions, but that doesn’t seem to be the case in 2022. In the fourth quarter of 2021, services made up 15.7% of the company’s revenue versus 23.6% in Apple’s latest quarter. The rise of services is positive as it can aid in safeguarding the company in the event of poor iPhone sales, which look to be a real possibility in Apple’s latest lineup. However, out of the 54 Wall St analysts, the price targets range from $164.37 to $229.2, still above its stock price as of writing.

Apple (AAPL 1.66%) is one of the best-known companies in the world, and has made plenty of shareholders wealthier over the past several decades. Its demonstrated ability to repeatedly create innovative tech products and services keeps it top of mind with a broad swath of consumers. Buffett’s reasons for dumping so much Apple could be a simple matter of valuation. When Berkshire began buying, Apple traded for less than 15 times projected earnings — now the iPhone maker trades “around 30 times projected profits in its fiscal year ending in September 2025,” Barron’s reported. I do not know why Buffett sold such a huge chunk of Berkshire’s Apple stock. However, Apple’s tepid growth rate and high valuation suggest the famed investor may have concluded the stock’s prospects are not great.

The industry with the worst average Zacks Rank (265 out of 265) would place in the bottom 1%. Analysts expect an adjusted bottom-line delivery of $1.34 per share, up 6% year over year, on revenue of $84.2 billion in Q3 2024, representing a 3% increase from the same period last year. Apple Intelligence will be built into iOS 18, iPadOS 18, and macOS Sequoia and will include features such as text composition and generative image features while prioritizing user functionality and notifications. However, AI will not be included in the initial launch of iOS 18 and iPadOS 18 in September.

With an improved outlook for iPhone sales, here’s what we think of Apple stock. Upgrade to MarketBeat All Access to add more stocks to your watchlist. Apple’s top institutional shareholders include Bank of New York Mellon Corp (0.73%), Austin Private Wealth LLC, American Century Companies Inc. (0.23%) Should i buy apple stock and Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings Inc. (0.22%). Insiders that own company stock include Arthur D Levinson, Timothy D Cook, Jeffrey E Williams, Katherine L Adams, Deirdre O’brien, Luca Maestri and Chris Kondo. Apple is headquartered in Apple Park, an ultra-modern campus built in Cupertino, California.

In the case of AAPL, this could be Dell, Lenovo, Microsoft or Samsung. Apple itself notes that it has experienced substantial price volatility and can be significantly impacted by external factors. While past performance is no indication of future results, you may face similar volatility in the future. Lawrence Sprung, a CFP and wealth advisor with Mitlin Financial, recommended that the price fluctuations should influence how you invest in Apple. Although Apple has previously performed well, its past results do not mean it will deliver similar results in the future.

Due to COVID-fueled supply chain disruptions, key manufacturing partners such as Broadcom and Texas Instruments have struggled to deliver enough components. These supply constraints caused Apple, one of the largest chip buyers in the world, to slash its forecast for the new iPhone by 10 million units. The Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC), a government internet watchdog, has implemented guidelines for foreign companies seeking approval for generative AI deployment in China. Although Apple is a leader in digital innovation, it has always been late to the party.

Services are higher margin than products — with a gross margin of about 70%, versus 36% for products — and that means they can be more profitable for Apple. You don’t buy an iPhone every day, but you may regularly pay for Apple services. This is a solid business that can keep growing for many years, since American Express card members spend more, on average, than users of other credit card brands.

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